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			<title>My view of AI (10)</title>
			<link>https://forums.lazytown.eu/forum/off-topic-discussions/general-off-topic-discussion/technology/214433-my-view-of-ai-10</link>
			<pubDate>Sun, 07 Jun 2026 07:36:37 GMT</pubDate>
			<description>IDK if his has been shared in these threads but I...</description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[IDK if his has been shared in these threads but I came across it recently when someone claimed AGI is coming maybe as soon as next year or 2040 at the latest. Suffice it to say I'm skeptical.<br />
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				The Intelligence Stack:<ol class="decimal"><li><b>Computation/Memory (Where AI excels)</b>: Raw processing power. The ability to store and recall vast amounts of information. This is what LLMs are built on.</li>
<li><b>Pattern Matching/Recognition (Where AI is strong)</b>: Identifying patterns in data, from language syntax to visual objects.</li>
<li><b>Abstract Reasoning (Where AI struggles)</b>: Applying knowledge to novel situations. True problem-solving. This is the focus of benchmarks like ARC-AGI, where the best models still only score around 55%, while humans are near-perfect.</li>
<li><b>Causal &amp; Counterfactual Reasoning (Where AI fails)</b>: Understanding cause and effect. Asking “what if?” This is the foundation of scientific thought and strategic planning.</li>
<li><b>Embodied Cognition (The Missing Link)</b>: Learning and reasoning through physical interaction with the world. An AI that has never felt the heat of a fire cannot truly understand the concept of danger.</li>
<li><b>Social/Emotional Intelligence (The Final Frontier)</b>: Navigating complex social dynamics, understanding unspoken rules, empathy, and building trust.</li>
</ol><br />
We’re pouring billions into making Layer 1 and 2 bigger and faster. But AGI won’t be born from a larger dataset. It will emerge from a breakthrough in layers 3 through 6. Until we shift our focus from mimicry to mind, we’re just building a more sophisticated parrot.​
			
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</div><a href="https://voltureluxe.com/ai/how-close-is-agi-really-what-the-data-actually-shows/" target="_blank">https://voltureluxe.com/ai/how-close...ctually-shows/</a><br />
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The article is almost a year old but I doubt AGI really is just around the corner.]]></content:encoded>
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			<dc:creator>moomoo</dc:creator>
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